Bet the Total in this Clash of Shorthanded Teams (January 23)

Jazz vs. Warriors Odds

Jazz ratings +4.5
Warriors ratings -4.5
More less 219.5
Time 8:30 p.m. ET
TV NBA Television
Odds via Caesars. Keep up to date NBA odds here.

The Utah Jazz begin a short two-game road trip Sunday night when they travel to California to take on the Warriors in a battle of two Western Conference heavyweights.

Utah once again pieced together a solid season, entering this game with a 30-16 overall record and sitting in fourth place in the Western Conference. Similarly, Golden State has also been terrific, winning 33 of its 46 games and 3.5 games behind Phoenix for the West’s top seed.

It’s possible that some key Utah players won’t dress Sunday night, which makes things a bit more complicated for them. Will the Jazz be able to overcome these injuries, or are we more likely to see the Warriors take care of business?

Utah Jazz

Donovan Mitchell has already been ruled out with a concussion, and Rudy Gobert, Bojan Bogdanovic and Hassan Whiteside are all currently sitting on the injury report with him.

That’s obviously not a good thing to see fighting for position in the Western Conference, especially considering the Jazz have lost six of their last eight games.

These eight games were far from beautiful for this Jazz team. Going into this game, the Jazz still have the number one offensive rating in the NBA according to advanced NBA stats. They’re scoring 116.1 points per 100 possessions, but in their last eight games that number has dropped to 112.0.

During that span, they saw their 3-point shooting efficiency drop nearly two percentage points to 34.5%. That wouldn’t be good news for any NBA team, but it’s especially concerning given Jazz’s attempt at nearly 41 3s per game, as their 3-point shooting frequency of 43.6 % leads the league (excluding trash time, per Cleaning The Glass).

Defensively, the Jazz have also struggled and have seen their defensive rating climb to 116.2 in their last eight games. That’s significantly higher than their all-season rating of 108.7. They’ve also allowed opponents to shoot 47.5% from the floor in their last eight games, which has helped end up in close matchups with inferior opponents.

Not much has gone right for the Jazz lately, which started to become clear when they suffered losses to the Pistons, Rockets and Pacers earlier this month. They have to clean up some things if they’re going to have a chance of beating Golden State on the road.

Golden State Warriors

Outside of Draymond Green nursing a calf injury and Andre Iguodala taking time off to rest, the Golden State Warriors are as healthy as we’ve seen them this season.

That’s great news because, much like the Jazz, the Warriors haven’t played their best basketball lately, winning just four of their last 10 games.

Offensively, Golden State has been fairly stagnant, leading to many close games over the last game. Over their last 10 games, this Warriors team is averaging just 104.2 points per game while shooting just 43% from the field overall and a dismal 30.1% from behind the arc, which are all significant decreases from their season averages.

However, the Warriors have tons of success on the defensive side of the floor, which has been a theme for them all season.

In their last 10 games, Golden State has an incredible defensive rating of 103.6, the second-best in the NBA during that streak. They also managed to hold their opponents to just 102 points per game, as well as allowing them to shoot 42% from the floor and 32% from behind the arc.

Even without Draymond Green, this team has found a way to control their opponents on the defensive side of the field. The contributions of Andrew Wiggins on the perimeter and Kevon Looney on the inside proved to be the difference, and they will need to bring the same energy into this game.

Jazz-Warriors Pick

Neither offense has reached their potential since the schedule changed to 2022, which is a bit of a concern heading into this game.

However, Golden State’s defensive play is a trend we’ve seen all season and I don’t expect that to change on Sunday. Mitchell being out of lineup for the Jazz bodes well for the Warriors as well, and the potential to be without Gobert could keep the Jazz offense in the slump they currently find themselves in.

Both teams have had some blemishes lately, and with the injury status of several key players in the air, it’s a good place to take the underside as it’s likely to be another hard-fought game.

Take: Total less than 219.5 (-110)

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